I still think I’m right about Corbyn and Brexit. He’s playing a blinder.
In reply to those who accuse him of vacillating, his latest open letter to Theresa May, restating what has been his position from the beginning, should put them right. If there is to be any chance of Britain’s negotiating a favourable ‘deal’ with the EU, it has to be with May’s ‘red lines’ rubbed out. That means effectively reinstating the single market with Europe, with all the ‘freedoms’ that the EU insists upon, including freedom of movement. That, of course, is May’s bottom-line sticking point, obsessed as she is – and as she was shown to be as a cruel Home Secretary – with the idea of keeping Johnny Foreigner out. The EU has indicated that it would be willing to renegotiate on that basis – a common trading zone – if not on May’s. And it would, of course, do away with the Irish border problem at a single stroke. If she accepted it, and renegotiated from that position, Britain could achieve a status very close to her present membership of the EU. Problem solved.
But of course she won’t; as nor will her party’s swivel-eyed loonies. It would split the Conservative Party – her other main priority – possibly for good. So, she’ll come back to Parliament with a similar proposition to the one that was decisively defeated last month, with just a few tweaks to the Irish ‘back-stop’, and probably lose that vote too.
Which will leave only three options open. (a) Exiting with no deal at all. But nearly all parties (apart from the swivel-eyed one) are highly nervous of that, as they should be. Even the pro-No Deal Rees-Mogg accepts that it will take decades for the British economy to recover from it. (b) The fall of the Government, and a General Election. But the Conservatives are terrified of this, if it lets that terrorist-hugging Commie Corbyn in; and so will probably have to go for Option (c).
That is for a new referendum, in which one of the choices could be Britain’s remaining in the EU. That, in fact, is the Remainers’ best hope. If a ‘people’s vote’ were called at this stage of the proceedings, after all other solutions had been tried and failed, it might reconcile many of those who are presently so stridently against it on the (highly illogical) grounds that it would be ‘undemocratic’, and so disarm the Rightist street-mob, which is looking so menacing now.
In any case Corbyn’s proposal has put the Government on the spot. That is both clever, and principled, in that it doesn’t go against any of his known views. Either Remain, or his ‘soft Brexit’ option, would undo most of the terrible harm to our society that is being inflicted by the swivel-eyed faction just now. And it might even bring a Radical Labour government closer; which could then start working to repair most of the social and economic damage inflicted by the Conservatives (in the name of ‘neo-liberalism’), which – as I’ve argued many times before – was what lay at the root of the original Brexit vote.
All it needs now is for Corbyn to get a fair crack of the whip from the media, which happened remarkably, you’ll remember, at the time of the 2017 General Election, when they had to report what he was doing and saying, and when the worst propaganda against him appeared so outlandish as to be widely dismissed. Theresa May – the ‘Maybot’ – performs dreadfully at elections, as we also learned from that campaign. And the more exposure Farage, Johnson and Gove are given – before they take up their positions in Tusk’s ‘special place in Hell’ – the more ridiculous they too will surely seem
So, as ‘Straight Red’ argues on Facebook today: ‘Corbyn and his team have charted a remarkable course through an exceedingly difficult period, and have arrived at a point where a General Election and a Labour victory are on the agenda, three years ahead of schedule. For those who have doubted Corbyn’s strategy and leadership, it may be time for a little reflection and humility.’ Amen to that.
But then anything can still happen. This must be one of the least predictable episodes in all British history. We’ll see over the next couple of weeks or so. These are nervous times for those of us who value our transnational European identity, and who fear the other possible outcomes of the hostile nationalism that Brexit represents.
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The basic strategy is correct of ensuring the Tories have full ownership of the Brexit debacle, but Corbyn’s many enemies in the PLP are using Brexit to undermine his leadership,together with the anti Zionism issue, or ‘anti-semitism’ as they prefer to call it, aided and abetted of course by the right wing gutter press. May will probably get her deal through at the last minute which will be hailed by the Tory press as a great triumph, and them hold an early general election before any negative impact from Brexit is apparent.
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Yes, that’s another possibility. They’ll vote for her deal simply in order to avoid a No-Deal. I’m not sure about a General Election following, however. It’s difficult to see her risking that, in view of what happened last time. And in any case – though I’m not sure about this – hasn’t she promised to stand down before any new Election?
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She promised to stand down before the 2022 election, but that can be avoided if she claimed an early election is needed to validate the deal and to preempt the proposal to hold another referendum on it.
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Thanks for the clarification!
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I hope you turn out to be right, Bernard. If he is his playing a ‘blinder’, Corbyn;s expertise is, unfortunately, lost on the public; that is, if the polls are to be believed.
However, is there not also an alternative (d) for delay? May is indulging in brinkmanship, but when or if the situation gets to the point that (a) looms as a very real and present danger, she is highly unlikely to accede to Corbyn’s (b) or the Remainer’s (c) which would split the Tory Party. In the circumstances, a vote to delay would be the least intolerable result for May.
From then on a series of Delays could result, which might become entrenched as the norm prior to the next election.
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